AI Capex Exceeds Manhattan Project 12× Per Year — No Moat, No Profits
Gary Marcus and Mark Cuban (via the Big Technology Podcast) converge on a capital misallocation thesis: Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta collectively spend more than the entire Manhattan Project every single month — more than 12× its total cost per year — on AI infrastructure. None holds a durable technical moat; none is generating major AI profits; and Cuban characterizes OpenAI as "shitting away money at scale." A major price war, Marcus argues, is now inevitable.
Why It Matters
This is the most concentrated AI-spending-skepticism signal to emerge in a single news cycle; it coincides with new Oracle dependency analysis (see related item) and adds executive-level corroboration to the AI bubble thesis.